Menopausal hormone therapy (HRT): who, when and why
Dr Aditya Aggarwal, MS (Ortho), PMC 45581, Aggarwal Clinic, Patiala
Last reviewed · next review 18 October 2027
Evidence summary for clinicians. For discussion, not a prescription. Grades are a GRADE-style reading of the cited sources unless a guideline grade is quoted.
Who it is for
- Bothersome vasomotor symptoms in women under 60 or within 10 years of menopause. The Menopause Society (NAMS 2022) calls the balance favourable for symptoms and for preventing bone loss1.
- Premature ovarian insufficiency or early menopause, until at least the average age of natural menopause2.
- Women at intermediate or high fracture risk within 10 years of menopause, as one first-line option (IMS India)2.
- Not for preventing heart disease or other chronic disease alone (USPSTF grade D)4.
Evidence grade: Moderate.
Benefits: what the trials show
- Bone. WHI combined therapy cut hip fractures (HR 0.66) and all fractures (HR 0.76)5, 6; oestrogen alone cut hip fractures (HR 0.61)7. Cochrane 2025 found clinical fractures RR 0.78, moderate certainty8.
- Symptoms. MHT remains the most effective treatment for vasomotor and genitourinary symptoms1.
- Deaths. No change in all-cause, heart or cancer deaths over 18 years of WHI follow-up9.
Harms in absolute terms
| Harm | Source | Size |
|---|---|---|
| Breast cancer, combined therapy | WHI5 | 8 extra per 10,000 women per year |
| Breast cancer, by type and duration | Worldwide meta-analysis10 | 5 years from age 50: about 1 extra case per 50 users (oestrogen + daily progestagen), 1 per 70 (intermittent), 1 per 200 (oestrogen alone) |
| Breast cancer, oestrogen alone | WHI7, 11 | No increase; cumulative HR 0.79 |
| Stroke | WHI5, 7 | 8 extra (combined); 12 extra (oestrogen alone) per 10,000 per year |
| Venous clots | WHI5; UK case-control12 | 8 extra PE per 10,000 per year; oral HRT OR 1.58 |
| Heart disease | WHI5; NOGG13 | 7 extra events with combined therapy; no rise when started under 60 |
Route matters. Oral oestrogen raises clot risk; transdermal oestrogen at standard doses does not, according to the UK guideline13. Breast cancer risk rises with duration and is higher with combined than oestrogen-only therapy; little excess follows less than 1 year of use10.
Evidence grade: Moderate.
When to start and how long
Benefit-risk is better in women under 60 or within 10 years of menopause, and worse after 60 or beyond 10 years because of heart disease, stroke, clots and dementia1. WHI women aged 50 to 59 had more favourable results than older women9, 11. Re-evaluate benefits and risks at intervals, and keep longer use for a documented reason such as persistent symptoms1.
Evidence grade: Moderate. Age-group findings are subgroup analyses.
What the guidelines say
| Group | Position on MHT | On bone |
|---|---|---|
| ESE 2025, Europe3 | Covers symptom care, POI and early menopause, and women for whom hormones are not suitable | Treats MHT for chronic disease prevention as a contested question |
| NICE NG23, UK, updated 202617 | Offer HRT for hot flushes and sweats; consider transdermal if clot risk is raised, including BMI over 30 | Fracture risk falls while taking HRT; the benefit fades after stopping |
| NOGG 2024, UK13 | Option; transdermal avoids extra clot risk | Reduces vertebral, non-vertebral and hip fractures |
| USPSTF 2022, US4 | Against for chronic disease prevention (D) | Not a reason on its own |
| NAMS 2022, US1 | Favourable under 60 or within 10 years | Prevents bone loss and fracture |
| IMS International 202414 | White paper on prescribing and controversies | Not re-checked in detail |
| IMS India 20262 | Supports MHT in the window | First-line option for intermediate or high risk within 10 years |
Why gynaecology and orthopaedic literature sound different
Menopause societies (NAMS, IMS India) list bone protection as a benefit of MHT and, in IMS India, as a first-line bone option near menopause1, 2. Bone guidelines (NOGG, Endocrine Society, BHOF) are built around fracture risk tools and drugs with fracture trials, with HRT as one option among several13, 15, 16. USPSTF, a prevention body, recommends against MHT for prevention alone4.
Interpretation (not a sourced finding). The gap reflects the patients each specialty sees. Gynaecologists see younger symptomatic women for whom bone is a bonus. Orthopaedic surgeons see older women after a fracture, where MHT is rarely started and bisphosphonates or denosumab dominate. Both views are consistent with the same trial data.
Practical summary
- Symptomatic woman under 60 or within 10 years of menopause: MHT is reasonable and protects bone1.
- Early menopause or POI: replace hormones to the average menopause age2.
- Bone alone, no symptoms: guidelines split; discuss, and consider a bisphosphonate2, 4.
- Prefer transdermal oestrogen when clot risk is raised13.
- Explain absolute breast cancer numbers by type and duration10.
Where the evidence is weak
- WHI used one oral regimen (conjugated equine oestrogen with or without medroxyprogesterone) in women with mean age 63. Modern transdermal oestradiol and micronised progesterone have no comparable fracture or breast cancer RCTs5, 9.
- Only one study in the 2025 Cochrane review focused on perimenopausal women8.
- Breast cancer figures for type and duration are observational10.
- The ESE 2025 row is based on the published summary only; the full guideline was not reviewed for this article3.
Related evidence pages
Questions
Common questions
- Does HRT reduce fractures?
- Yes. In WHI, combined therapy cut hip fractures (HR 0.66) and all fractures (HR 0.76); oestrogen alone cut hip fractures (HR 0.61). Cochrane 2025 rates the cut in clinical fractures as moderate certainty.
- Should HRT be started for bone alone?
- Guidelines differ. USPSTF recommends against hormone therapy to prevent chronic disease (grade D). IMS India lists it as one first-line option for women at raised fracture risk within 10 years of menopause.
- Does the route of oestrogen matter?
- Yes. Oral oestrogen raises clot risk. According to the UK osteoporosis guideline, transdermal oestrogen at standard doses does not.
- How large is the breast cancer risk?
- It rises with duration and is higher with combined than oestrogen-only therapy. For 5 years of use from age 50, a worldwide meta-analysis estimated about 1 extra case per 50 users of oestrogen plus daily progestagen.
References17 sources, linked to PubMed or DOI
Verified by PMID and DOI. Vancouver style.
- “The 2022 Hormone Therapy Position Statement of The North American Menopause Society” Advisory Panel. The 2022 hormone therapy position statement of The North American Menopause Society. Menopause. 2022. PubMed 35797481 · doi:10.1097/GME.0000000000002028
- Meeta M, Anuradha M, Ashraf AB, et al. Clinical Practice Guidelines for Menopause: An Executive Summary and Recommendations: Indian Menopause Society 2026. J Midlife Health. 2026. PubMed 41767293 · doi:10.4103/jmh.jmh_302_25
- Lumsden MA, Dekkers OM, Faubion SS, et al. European society of endocrinology clinical practice guideline for evaluation and management of menopause and the perimenopause. Eur J Endocrinol. 2025. PubMed 41082911 · doi:10.1093/ejendo/lvaf206
- US Preventive Services Task Force, Mangione CM, Barry MJ, et al. Hormone Therapy for the Primary Prevention of Chronic Conditions in Postmenopausal Persons: US Preventive Services Task Force Recommendation Statement. JAMA. 2022. PubMed 36318127 · doi:10.1001/jama.2022.18625
- Rossouw JE, Anderson GL, Prentice RL, et al. Risks and benefits of estrogen plus progestin in healthy postmenopausal women: principal results From the Women's Health Initiative randomized controlled trial. JAMA. 2002. PubMed 12117397 · doi:10.1001/jama.288.3.321
- Cauley JA, Robbins J, Chen Z, et al. Effects of estrogen plus progestin on risk of fracture and bone mineral density: the Women's Health Initiative randomized trial. JAMA. 2003. PubMed 14519707 · doi:10.1001/jama.290.13.1729
- Anderson GL, Limacher M, Assaf AR, et al. Effects of conjugated equine estrogen in postmenopausal women with hysterectomy: the Women's Health Initiative randomized controlled trial. JAMA. 2004. PubMed 15082697 · doi:10.1001/jama.291.14.1701
- Bofill Rodriguez M, Yong LN, Mirkov S, et al. Long-term hormone therapy for perimenopausal and postmenopausal women. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2025. PubMed 41307293 · doi:10.1002/14651858.CD004143.pub6
- Manson JE, Aragaki AK, Rossouw JE, et al. Menopausal Hormone Therapy and Long-term All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality: The Women's Health Initiative Randomized Trials. JAMA. 2017. PubMed 28898378 · doi:10.1001/jama.2017.11217
- Collaborative Group on Hormonal Factors in Breast Cancer. Type and timing of menopausal hormone therapy and breast cancer risk: individual participant meta-analysis of the worldwide epidemiological evidence. Lancet. 2019. PubMed 31474332 · doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(19)31709-X
- Manson JE, Chlebowski RT, Stefanick ML, et al. Menopausal hormone therapy and health outcomes during the intervention and extended poststopping phases of the Women's Health Initiative randomized trials. JAMA. 2013. PubMed 24084921 · doi:10.1001/jama.2013.278040
- Vinogradova Y, Coupland C, Hippisley-Cox J. Use of hormone replacement therapy and risk of venous thromboembolism: nested case-control studies using the QResearch and CPRD databases. BMJ. 2019. PubMed 30626577 · doi:10.1136/bmj.k4810
- Gregson CL, Armstrong DJ, Avgerinou C, et al. The 2024 UK clinical guideline for the prevention and treatment of osteoporosis. Arch Osteoporos. 2025. PubMed 40921943 · doi:10.1007/s11657-025-01588-3
- Panay N, Ang SB, Cheshire R, et al. Menopause and MHT in 2024: addressing the key controversies - an International Menopause Society White Paper. Climacteric. 2024. PubMed 39268862 · doi:10.1080/13697137.2024.2394950
- Eastell R, Rosen CJ, Black DM, et al. Pharmacological Management of Osteoporosis in Postmenopausal Women: An Endocrine Society* Clinical Practice Guideline. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2019. PubMed 30907953 · doi:10.1210/jc.2019-00221
- LeBoff MS, Greenspan SL, Insogna KL, et al. The clinician's guide to prevention and treatment of osteoporosis. Osteoporos Int. 2022. PubMed 35478046 · doi:10.1007/s00198-021-05900-y
- National Institute for Health and Care Excellence. Menopause: identification and management. NICE guideline NG23. Published 12 November 2015, last updated 15 April 2026. nice.org.uk/guidance/ng23
This article is for healthcare professionals. It is not medical advice for individual patients and doesn’t replace clinical judgement or a consultation.